Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 71.091942 80.145394 89.392958 99.512814 110.244199 121.255415 133.378396
2025-11-09 56.274777 69.182189 82.963612 98.639022 115.848286 134.052418 154.653955
2025-11-16 47.831577 62.851306 79.425725 98.797515 120.565055 144.046014 171.076079
2025-11-23 40.629307 56.954533 75.539851 97.801875 123.328183 151.321943 184.001186
2025-11-30 36.127252 53.632301 74.104925 99.132644 128.300732 160.704612 198.940538
2025-12-07 32.532294 51.001197 73.148447 100.722827 133.318232 169.931852 213.526542
2025-12-14 28.213429 47.048947 70.270032 99.751361 135.119416 175.297526 223.571335
2025-12-21 24.049275 42.902895 66.840877 97.846040 135.593716 178.949434 231.496455
2025-12-28 22.763894 42.469818 67.972682 101.422567 142.516947 190.031866 247.920189
2026-01-04 20.943045 41.126560 67.813559 103.300825 147.324126 198.586180 261.381866
2026-01-11 18.390192 38.514145 65.831796 102.756852 149.086493 203.474110 270.514349
2026-01-18 16.136628 36.127347 63.995010 102.270531 150.818651 208.248554 279.450560
2026-01-25 14.426432 34.435790 63.031251 102.879209 153.911202 214.685517 290.413882
2026-02-01 12.433541 32.097046 61.040216 102.049554 155.142085 218.843170 298.659063
2026-02-08 10.941271 30.412856 59.858964 102.200077 157.535407 224.352231 308.465980
2026-02-15 9.294678 28.265935 57.882471 101.187323 158.378693 227.922460 315.917824
2026-02-22 8.409932 27.378563 57.690723 102.543256 162.213895 235.124341 327.703183
2026-03-01 7.667546 26.671073 57.717722 104.163810 166.366988 242.703817 339.937546
2026-03-08 6.429130 24.825751 55.910824 103.173844 167.085543 246.011664 346.993855
2026-03-15 5.153275 22.674647 53.494915 101.232032 166.487040 247.631621 351.961920
2026-03-22 5.024472 23.009747 55.024548 104.876809 173.232335 258.397728 368.047508
2026-03-29 4.602340 22.618360 55.353521 106.790484 177.683421 266.297839 380.648565
2026-04-05 3.822455 21.241722 54.000365 106.236283 178.827448 270.034413 388.155188